The good, the bad, and the Keurig
Channel: Version History · Duration: 74:55 · source
[00:00] Coffee is everywhere. It's by most measures the second most popular beverage in the world,
[00:05] just right there on the list after water. But if you've had coffee, you've almost certainly had
[00:09] terrible coffee. There's a machine out there, though, that promises that not only will you
[00:13] never have a bad cup of coffee again, you'll hardly have to do any work to make it.
[00:18] From the Verge and Vox Media, this is Virgin History, a show about the best and worst and
[00:23] strangest and most important products in tech history. I'm David Pierce, and today,
[00:28] one cup at a time, it's the story of Keurig.
[00:40] All right, we're back. It's time for some coffee. I've already had too much coffee,
[00:44] and we're going to drink coffee in this episode. It's going to get very, very, very intense.
[00:48] Joining me in the studio, Melissa McCart, the Northeast Editor at Eater. Welcome.
[00:51] Thank you so much for having me.
[00:53] Tell me about your current coffee-making setup. You wake up in the morning, what do you do?
[00:58] I get on an app, and I order coffee, to be honest. But if I'm going to make it at home,
[01:02] I do be letty, either single or double. I like the ritual of it. I like watching it
[01:08] burble over. I like whipping a little bit of milk. But I have French press, Keurig, and a pot.
[01:15] Just full of options.
[01:16] Exactly.
[01:16] But instead, you just order coffee. I respect this. I also do that too.
[01:20] I have a giant bag of beans that arrives at my house once a month, and they have
[01:26] started to pile up because I'm in a real coffee shop phase, and it's not going well for me.
[01:30] Also joining us, Morgan Ekroth, the US Barista Champion,
[01:33] and a creator and a barista, welcome to the show.
[01:36] So glad to be here.
[01:37] Morgan, this may be an unfair question to ask you as somebody who does
[01:40] coffee in so many directions for a living, but you wake up, it's not a work day,
[01:46] you're just making coffee to make coffee, or not making coffee as a chance.
[01:50] What's your coffee routine?
[01:51] Yeah, I'm like a classic V60 pour over person. I love espresso, I love filter coffee,
[01:58] I love all the fun wacky ways to make coffee, but like average day,
[02:01] I'm just, it's me and my pour over in my little kitchen scale.
[02:04] I respect that.
[02:05] Awesome.
[02:06] I had a long run of being a Chemex guy.
[02:08] Oh yeah.
[02:09] Because Chemex to me felt like right in between,
[02:12] this is upsetting to say out loud, but I don't have the patience to be a pour over person.
[02:16] It's just-
[02:17] Valid, valid.
[02:18] It's one tick too long, I'm like, I would like to be drinking this already.
[02:21] I used to be a restaurant critic before I took the job at Eater,
[02:25] and the last thing that I was willing to be fussy about was coffee,
[02:30] and so I was like proud to be like an egalitarian bodega coffee person.
[02:36] So I think my tolerance for bad coffee is very high, so let's bring in the Keurig.
[02:41] So okay, so this is the right headspace to be in coming into talking about the Keurig.
[02:45] And the backstory of Keurig, which I kind of knew nothing about,
[02:48] this machine has just sort of like been in the world for a while.
[02:51] It turns out to be really fascinating.
[02:52] And it starts in like the 1980s basically, with these two guys,
[02:59] John Sylvan and Peter Dragone, who had been roommates at Colby.
[03:02] They got other jobs, and then they were just sort of out in the world,
[03:06] and there's this like mythological startup story.
[03:09] Everybody has a sort of story to tell about themselves, and it's only ever half true.
[03:13] But the half true story of where this came from is John Sylvan has a job.
[03:18] He's at a company called Analog Devices, which sounds like a made-up name of a company, but sure.
[03:23] And one of the things he had to do was pay the coffee vendor.
[03:28] He had to like round up money from his co-workers to pay the person who brought them coffee.
[03:32] And he hated this job.
[03:34] It was a super annoying thing to do to have to go around and, you know,
[03:37] harangue his co-workers for money.
[03:38] And also the coffee was trash.
[03:41] Like this is office coffee, which has since time immemorial been horrible.
[03:45] It's like a requirement or something.
[03:47] Yeah.
[03:47] It's like the best case scenario is somebody who knows how to make coffee,
[03:52] makes a good pot of coffee, and then it sits for several hours and burns.
[03:55] Oh, yeah.
[03:55] Right? That's as good as it gets.
[03:57] The worst case scenario is somebody who doesn't know how to make coffee,
[04:01] dumps a bunch of crap into a coffee maker, makes a horrible cup of coffee,
[04:05] and then it sits there for several hours and burns.
[04:07] It's just bad times everywhere.
[04:09] Yes, absolutely.
[04:10] So John has this epiphany where he's like, what if I could solve this whole problem?
[04:15] What if there was a better way to make coffee at work that would make the pots better,
[04:22] it would make the drinking experience better, it would make the whole thing better?
[04:24] So he quits his job, goes home to his Boston apartment, and starts experimenting.
[04:30] And from what I've come to understand, you should imagine like a mad scientist
[04:34] very nearly blowing up his building over and over and over and over again
[04:37] as he's trying to figure out what to do.
[04:39] And he lands very quickly on this idea of what if there was just a little capsule
[04:43] that you could take and you could put it in a coffee maker
[04:46] and it would do something and then you would have coffee.
[04:49] A true black box.
[04:51] Exactly.
[04:53] And there are a million complicated questions inside of this.
[04:56] Morgan, I'm curious if you can just explain,
[05:00] from a very basic sort of coffee making principle,
[05:03] it seems like everything about this idea of take a capsule of coffee,
[05:08] shove a bunch of water into it, magic happens, delicious coffee on the other side.
[05:14] It's just like complete anathema to how we actually think about making good coffees.
[05:19] Sure.
[05:20] Well, you know, good is an interesting word because it's so very dependent person to person,
[05:28] but it's like the idea kind of makes sense in the sense that we have like all of these variables
[05:34] we get to play with when you're brewing coffee.
[05:36] It's like you have your solvent and then you have the soluble product,
[05:41] which is the ground coffee, and you get to play with temperature,
[05:45] you get to play with time, how long things brew for, and you get to deal with pressure.
[05:50] And like every single brew method that we do is basically just like tweaking these different
[05:55] elements.
[05:55] And so when you're trying to brew coffee, like really, really quickly,
[05:59] you have to increase pressure, you have to increase temperature.
[06:03] There are ways to do it, but tweaking all those variables for the sake of like one thing,
[06:09] which is time, always leads to, I'll call it like changes in the final flavor profile.
[06:15] Like you're going to get a different result by tweaking all of these.
[06:20] It's not like there's a one answer that's going to come out at the bottom of this machine.
[06:25] Changes in the flavor profile seems such a great euphemism for terrible coffee.
[06:30] So John is making all this stuff.
[06:34] He eventually brings in his friend, Peter, who had been working at Chiquita,
[06:37] the banana company to help him out, gives him full partnership.
[06:40] So they become 50, 50 partners in this company.
[06:43] They name it Keurig, which apparently comes from the word excellence in Dutch.
[06:48] Both Travis, our producer, and I ran this down.
[06:50] And I would say the truth of that is like, yeah, it's like,
[06:52] it's quotation marks, sort of.
[06:55] Yeah, we're like, we're like near it, I would say.
[06:58] Aspirational.
[07:00] Yeah.
[07:01] And he also said at one point that he picked that name because everyone likes the Dutch,
[07:06] which sure.
[07:08] Stokes, fossils, you know, that's my first impression, which is very positive.
[07:13] Yeah, exactly.
[07:15] And so Morgan, you mentioned pressure.
[07:16] And it turns out one of the big things they had to figure out this whole time
[07:19] was pressure.
[07:21] Because like you said, one way to make coffee fast is to vastly increase the pressure
[07:27] that you put on the beans and the water and this sort of this process.
[07:31] The more you can compact it, the faster you can move stuff through.
[07:33] But that leads to all kinds of problems,
[07:36] including how do we not have this thing explode under the pressure that it's under.
[07:40] And they had a bunch of early experiments and they basically,
[07:44] have either of you ever done Jell-O shots?
[07:45] In D.S.
[07:46] This is no judgment.
[07:47] Maybe just last week.
[07:49] Listen, for science, this is what we do here.
[07:52] So they bought a bunch of the essentially the containers
[07:55] that you would put Jell-O shots in.
[07:57] The little plastic ones from a company that made Jell-O shot containers.
[08:01] They put coffee filter paper inside it and then sealed it closed with an iron.
[08:05] And so this is like essentially a makeshift little K cup.
[08:09] Fill it with coffee and then just experiment with all the different ways
[08:14] to try and get water through it.
[08:17] Different kinds of pressure, different speeds, different amounts of water,
[08:19] different amounts of coffee, and just spend like months and months and months
[08:23] dialing this thing in.
[08:24] And their big idea from the very beginning is to sell this
[08:27] to coffee distributors for essentially no money,
[08:33] who will then put it in offices for free.
[08:35] And they have this idea that all of their money
[08:37] is going to come from selling these cups.
[08:39] That it's a very, it's an old school like razors and blades model, right?
[08:42] You sell the razors cheap and then the blades are expensive.
[08:44] And this is their whole big idea.
[08:46] This turns out to be a very good idea.
[08:48] But one thing that happens along the way,
[08:50] and this is a true warning to everyone who drinks too much coffee.
[08:55] They were trying so many things and they were their own test market, right?
[08:58] Like at this point, you're just sitting there drinking a thousand cups of coffee a day.
[09:01] In 1985, John ends up in the hospital and he thinks he's having a heart attack.
[09:06] It's amazing story.
[09:08] And what actually happens is that John had caffeine poisoning,
[09:11] which until the moment of reading about this,
[09:12] I did not know was a thing that exists.
[09:15] And he said his self-professed number was that he was probably
[09:18] drinking 30 or 40 cups of coffee a day.
[09:20] That is an incredible amount of liquid just to consume in one day.
[09:26] Morgan, do you know anybody that this has happened to?
[09:28] I don't.
[09:29] You know, when I was reading about the story prior to this,
[09:35] I kind of knew it was leading into caffeine poisoning.
[09:37] I knew that was the direction where it went.
[09:39] 30 to 40 cups was a truly shocking number.
[09:43] So I'm actually curious for your perspective on this
[09:46] as somebody who trains for competitions,
[09:48] which is the only other thing I can think of
[09:49] that would lead you to sort of like buy necessity,
[09:52] drink a ton of coffee all the time.
[09:54] Yeah.
[09:54] So like when you're in full on sort of barista competition training,
[09:59] how much coffee do you think you're drinking in a day?
[10:00] You know, I, it's hard to like equate it to like cups necessarily,
[10:05] but there will be days where you get like overly caffeinated very easily,
[10:08] especially here, like we're drinking lots of espresso.
[10:10] But it was funny because I was like,
[10:12] I was like, my guy there, we can find ways to salt.
[10:15] You can spit the coffee out.
[10:18] There's, there's L3D like wine, like tasting wine.
[10:22] I kind of love that he did this to himself.
[10:24] I mean, it's true love of the game
[10:27] to consume that much coffee and testing this.
[10:29] My God, think of how many bad cups of coffee he drank.
[10:32] It really love of the game.
[10:33] I think it's exactly right.
[10:34] So they end up getting a patent for the idea that would become
[10:37] K cups, which, which becomes kind of the main thing
[10:40] that they're, they're going to eventually sell.
[10:43] Like a thing I don't think I really understood about
[10:46] Keurig until starting to do this research is the K cup is the thing.
[10:49] Yeah.
[10:50] Like the, the, the brewer and stuff is all like the,
[10:53] we have the, the first in-home Keurig here.
[10:56] And in most ways it seems like this thing is actually extremely similar
[10:59] to every other coffee thing that exists.
[11:00] It has a place for water.
[11:02] It pours that water through a thing and out comes coffee.
[11:04] Like this actually turns out to not be the hard part.
[11:06] That one time purchase too,
[11:08] like in theory that thing is going to last you five,
[11:12] maybe 10 years, ideally.
[11:14] Yeah, totally.
[11:15] But then K cups, even they understand at the beginning,
[11:17] they're like, this is our thing.
[11:18] This is the business.
[11:19] This is the product.
[11:20] This is the invention.
[11:21] Spoiler alert.
[11:22] John in particular winds up having a lot of feelings
[11:26] about this thing that he invented later in his life.
[11:28] And we will, we will talk about those feelings,
[11:31] but they, they invent this thing.
[11:33] They patent what would become K cups.
[11:36] I can actually show you a picture of the patent.
[11:37] It's pretty cool.
[11:38] And it is like, it's kind of incredible how much
[11:41] a detail there is in the patent that is just exactly
[11:45] even what we think of as K cups now,
[11:48] but also how unbelievably complicated the thing is.
[11:52] They, they patent this thing in 1994 and there's,
[11:54] there's a lot going on making it so that
[11:57] nothing would come out before it was supposed to
[11:59] was really hard, making it so that it would come out
[12:00] when it was supposed to was really hard.
[12:02] Keeping oxygen out was really hard
[12:04] because you need to be able to preserve the coffee
[12:06] for a long time while it's sitting in this.
[12:08] This is like a series of very hard problems
[12:10] that they think that they've solved.
[12:11] An emphasis on think because it turns out
[12:14] they keep trying this stuff and it keeps not working.
[12:17] And there's a great Boston Globe story
[12:20] from many years ago that details a lot of their history.
[12:24] And I just want to read you one section from it
[12:27] because this is the moment it all kind of almost falls apart.
[12:29] It says, a few years into the project,
[12:31] the Keurig prototypes were still so unreliable
[12:33] that whenever the founders did a demonstration
[12:34] for potential backers, they never knew what would happen.
[12:37] Early models leaked puddles of coffee
[12:39] onto expensive wooden conference tables.
[12:41] The K cup filters would often split,
[12:42] leading to drinks so laced with grounds
[12:44] that they were alarmingly crunchy.
[12:46] During one trip to meet potential financiers in Minnesota,
[12:49] the founders made the mistake of checking the luggage
[12:51] containing their trove of homemade K cups.
[12:52] Once aloft, the lack of pressurization in the cargo hold
[12:55] caused them to burst.
[12:56] Sylvan and Dragoan stayed up all night
[12:58] creating several dozen more by hand.
[12:59] So this is like years in.
[13:01] This is the state of Keurig.
[13:03] It's very charming, truly.
[13:05] Like the idea of this overnight work session
[13:08] that had to happen.
[13:09] It feels like totally best in show
[13:11] or like spinal tap for coffee nerds.
[13:14] So what I wonder though is there's almost something here
[13:18] where it's like, why would you keep trying
[13:20] this thing at some point?
[13:22] And I kind of wonder like, Melissa, as you think about this,
[13:24] going back, we're almost 30 years ago at this point.
[13:27] Is it super obvious that they're right
[13:30] and this is clearly a thing to do
[13:32] and there's tons of money in it
[13:33] and if we can just crack this, it's worth it?
[13:34] Or are these just like complete lunatics
[13:36] who can't stop themselves from doing this?
[13:38] Well, I think if we look at 30 years ago
[13:40] before the rise of specialty coffee,
[13:42] it's totally right because coffee was just bad everywhere.
[13:46] True.
[13:47] And everyone had to be in an office
[13:49] or some kind of place where there was like
[13:51] a person who lorded over the coffee
[13:53] that made it especially bad.
[13:55] So in theory, it seems like this can be less bad
[13:59] and my life will be better.
[14:02] But then with the intersection of specialty coffee
[14:05] and this, then it became lunacy, right?
[14:08] So like, whenever Starbucks came,
[14:11] this is where Morgan, you could give us the pin
[14:15] in terms of the date of the rise of specialty coffee.
[14:17] Yeah.
[14:17] Like, once we started to shop
[14:21] going out for specialty coffee that wasn't terrible,
[14:23] then it just became like, what are you doing?
[14:25] I thought it was most interesting
[14:27] looking at the timing of all of this
[14:29] because it was like all the,
[14:31] a lot of the thought process and development was happening
[14:34] like what I would consider like slightly before
[14:36] like third wave really took over
[14:38] is like the predominant like US coffee drinking movement.
[14:41] But then once we get a little bit further here,
[14:45] once we actually have like actuation
[14:47] of this machine to market,
[14:48] like it very much aligns with the rise of specialty
[14:53] and coffee getting so much better in cafes.
[14:56] I think it's really interesting to see
[14:57] these two happening parallel.
[14:59] And it's kind of weird that they happen in parallel, right?
[15:01] That all at once we're running towards
[15:04] the most convenient coffee we've ever had
[15:07] kind of quality aside.
[15:08] Yeah.
[15:09] And I think it is worth saying that they're here,
[15:11] their goal is to make better coffee,
[15:13] not like for the world,
[15:15] but for one very specific place,
[15:17] which is your office,
[15:18] which definitely for sure has horrible coffee.
[15:22] And everyone wants a different coffee too.
[15:24] Totally.
[15:25] And so I think it's,
[15:26] I would have assumed that this
[15:28] and kind of third wave coffee culture,
[15:31] like from Starbucks all the way up the chain
[15:34] would have run into each other,
[15:35] but they actually are able to exist next to each other
[15:38] for a surprisingly long time.
[15:40] Yeah.
[15:40] But okay, so this in 1997,
[15:43] something very weird happens,
[15:44] which is that both founders of Keurig
[15:47] end up leaving Keurig.
[15:48] They raise some money.
[15:49] They first, I think it's $50,000
[15:51] and then I think they raise a million dollars.
[15:53] So they're like,
[15:55] they're close enough
[15:55] and people are bought in enough to this idea
[15:58] that they want to make it a thing.
[15:59] But the investors look at this disaster
[16:02] of a prototype situation
[16:04] and say, we need to install
[16:05] some of our own leadership.
[16:06] John gets mad,
[16:08] doesn't want to deal with this new
[16:09] corporate structure of people
[16:10] who are watching over him
[16:11] and he leaves
[16:13] and he makes Keurig buy him out
[16:15] for $50,000.
[16:17] They buy his half of the company for $50,000.
[16:20] Spoiler alert,
[16:21] that was a bad deal by John Sylvan.
[16:23] Peter, the other co-founder,
[16:25] leaves a few months later,
[16:26] but he keeps his investment.
[16:28] He keeps his part of the company
[16:30] for a long time.
[16:31] And that ends up going quite well for him.
[16:34] So that's in 1997.
[16:35] By 1998,
[16:36] this new team and new leadership
[16:38] has actually made the thing work.
[16:41] They build a K-cup factory.
[16:43] They start installing machines in offices
[16:46] and immediately,
[16:48] people start to love this thing.
[16:49] I say they kind of work
[16:50] because they actually genuinely
[16:52] only kind of work.
[16:53] They still have lots of problems.
[16:54] They break down.
[16:55] They spend a lot of their time
[16:56] going to people's offices to fix them.
[16:58] But no one who gets one of these
[17:00] ever wants to get rid of it.
[17:01] Because it immediately solves
[17:03] a really obvious problem,
[17:04] which I think is really fascinating.
[17:05] And Melissa, it's exactly what you described.
[17:07] Everybody wants better coffee,
[17:08] but also everybody wants their coffee.
[17:12] And this seems like an insight
[17:13] that the Keurig folks had
[17:14] that winds up being really important,
[17:16] which is not only can we make the coffee
[17:19] a little more sort of personalized
[17:20] in that you can make it when you want it,
[17:22] but actually we can have different kinds of coffee
[17:24] for different kinds of people
[17:26] all in one system.
[17:27] The first machine, by the way,
[17:28] was called the B2000,
[17:30] which is a hilarious name
[17:31] for your first product.
[17:32] It's so star-tracked.
[17:36] The Keurig B2000, our initial launch.
[17:40] It was huge.
[17:41] Like we think of Keurig as like this little thing
[17:43] that brews a cup of coffee at a time,
[17:44] but these old ones were more like
[17:47] diner coffee systems.
[17:49] They were big.
[17:50] They cost $900.
[17:52] You had to hook them up to a water line.
[17:53] These were like industrial-sized coffee makers,
[17:56] even though they only made one cup at a time.
[17:58] But again, this thing works, right?
[18:00] People are into it.
[18:00] They continue to validate the idea,
[18:02] the thing continues to get better,
[18:03] and then the company decides
[18:04] it wants to branch out and get into people's homes.
[18:07] Again, this is not a gimme at all, really.
[18:09] This is like still going to be an expensive machine.
[18:12] It's still going to be complicated.
[18:13] It's a new set of things
[18:14] they have to figure out how to solve.
[18:15] People don't want to hook this thing up
[18:16] to their water line,
[18:17] but they decide they're going to do this.
[18:19] And we should take a break here,
[18:21] but my question before we do,
[18:22] does this idea, like if we rewind all the way back,
[18:26] should we have allowed this to happen?
[18:28] Keurig is an office coffee thing.
[18:31] I think like unparalleled good idea, right?
[18:34] Like made everybody's office coffee situation better.
[18:37] I think as we look at the long sweep of history,
[18:40] the in-home Keurig ends up being
[18:43] a much more complicated thing.
[18:45] So if we're going back in time,
[18:48] should we just prevent this from happening?
[18:50] Or was this just an idea whose time has come
[18:51] and it was going to happen no matter what?
[18:53] Oh, it's a tricky, tricky question.
[18:56] You know, I think the thing I often like
[19:01] think about with the Keurig,
[19:02] and especially when we think about like
[19:05] kind of like the pipeline from like,
[19:06] you start brewing your own coffee at home.
[19:08] And then like ideally, you know,
[19:10] especially when, you know,
[19:11] for us that work in like especially coffee industry
[19:13] or like cooperate in that world a lot,
[19:15] the idea is like people kind of have
[19:17] their stepping in point to making coffee.
[19:19] And then ideally,
[19:20] that is kind of a pipeline that leads them
[19:22] to want to drink better coffee down the road,
[19:25] kind of explore that rabbit hole.
[19:27] But like the Keurig is such a perfect machine
[19:31] for so many people in the sense that
[19:33] it's like wildly convenient.
[19:35] It was and is like such a status symbol as well
[19:39] that it's like it kind of became
[19:41] the stopping point where people were like,
[19:43] actually, this is actually this is great.
[19:45] We don't need to kind of progress
[19:46] down this rabbit hole.
[19:47] And so there's this conundrum
[19:49] where I'm so wildly impressed
[19:53] and like in awe of the Keurig,
[19:55] but also like kind of simultaneously hate it.
[19:58] Like it's a very like, yeah,
[20:00] it's like I'm so truly split on it
[20:02] from like a product design standpoint
[20:04] versus like the impact standpoint.
[20:06] I mean, I also think that there's
[20:08] like a sort of 1950s like
[20:12] housekeeping element to it.
[20:13] I mean, if you're buying K-cups,
[20:15] you never even see coffee grounds.
[20:18] And I mean, I still spill coffee grounds
[20:21] and like beans and like make entire
[20:24] like messes of the counter.
[20:26] And like that will never be something
[20:28] you have to deal with.
[20:29] And I think that was attractive
[20:30] for a lot of people.
[20:31] Yeah, totally.
[20:32] Yeah, I think to me, the part of this
[20:34] that always been so complicated
[20:35] is like, are we is the Keurig
[20:38] sort of a perfect example of us
[20:40] just convening ourselves to death, right?
[20:42] Like, have we come so far
[20:44] that we can't even be bothered
[20:46] to make a pot of coffee in the morning?
[20:48] And maybe that's a ridiculous way
[20:50] to think about it.
[20:50] But that is also the part of me
[20:51] that's conflicted is like,
[20:53] this is are we getting away
[20:54] from the thing that this is
[20:55] actually supposed to be
[20:57] because it's slightly easier to do.
[20:59] Like we're muting our highs and lows
[21:01] just for the sake of like even.
[21:05] And there's nothing more
[21:06] that way than Keurig.
[21:08] Yeah.
[21:08] Okay, so we should take a break here.
[21:10] But this is we leave ourselves here
[21:12] at 2004 when the first in-home Keurig
[21:15] start to ship and spoiler alert,
[21:17] it goes super, super well.
[21:20] But we'll talk about that in a sec.
[21:20] Let's take a break.
[21:21] We'll be right back.
[21:26] All right, we're back.
[21:27] We have a new friend in the studio.
[21:29] This is the Keurig K-Mini Go
[21:32] which Travis, our producer,
[21:33] just brought us.
[21:34] It's cute and it's white
[21:35] and it's blinking and Melissa,
[21:37] you and I are going to drink some coffee.
[21:38] Yes.
[21:39] Morgan, I'm sorry you can't.
[21:40] It's okay.
[21:41] I'm there in spirit.
[21:43] It seems like you have 60 or 70
[21:46] different coffee machines
[21:47] in your immediate vicinity
[21:48] and none of them are Keurig.
[21:49] Definitely not lacking for coffee brewers.
[21:52] So I get out the K-cup
[21:54] which is a couple inches tall.
[21:56] It's white and round and plasticky.
[22:00] You can just do K-cup ASMR
[22:02] for the rest of the show.
[22:03] And I think basically every machine
[22:06] since the beginning of Keurig
[22:07] has worked the same way.
[22:08] You have this thing,
[22:09] you pull up on the handle
[22:10] and it pulls it up
[22:11] and then you put the K-cup in the place,
[22:15] the hole for the K-cup
[22:16] and you put it down and ready.
[22:18] I'm going to put the mic on this thing
[22:19] because this noise is very important.
[22:23] That's the thing that makes it work.
[22:26] And then the thing starts blinking
[22:27] asking me how many ounces I want.
[22:29] I'm going to hit 10
[22:30] because I don't want to sleep ever again.
[22:33] And then I have to put a mug in.
[22:36] Finish the one coffee.
[22:37] We're rebooting it right now.
[22:39] You put the mug under
[22:41] and you hit it.
[22:42] It's really true.
[22:43] Like looking at this now,
[22:44] John Sylvan is right.
[22:44] This is just a different look
[22:47] of the same thing Keurig has been
[22:48] for 30 years.
[22:50] It's kind of wild.
[22:51] And then it brews.
[22:52] It's like a leak from a rainstorm.
[22:54] I know it really is.
[22:55] It's very, I'm going to point that mic in.
[22:57] I can hear it slightly in the background.
[22:58] It's very relaxing.
[23:00] Oh, that's lovely.
[23:04] Like you're in a Japanese garden.
[23:07] Just a very slowly dripping waterfall.
[23:11] I assume that was on purpose
[23:12] by the Keurig folks.
[23:14] How do we make this sound lovely
[23:15] while you drink coffee?
[23:16] We have Green Mountain, Nantucket Blend,
[23:17] and Melissa.
[23:18] We also have original donut shop coffee,
[23:20] regular medium roast coffee.
[23:22] So I guess my question is,
[23:24] shall I have the donut?
[23:25] I think you have to.
[23:27] It's up to you.
[23:28] Yeah, I'm going to do that.
[23:28] Coffee is a personal decision, Melissa.
[23:31] And I would never make that for you.
[23:33] All right.
[23:34] Okay, now comes,
[23:35] I would say the first annoying thing
[23:36] about a Keurig,
[23:37] which is what do you do
[23:38] with the K-cup?
[23:40] And my answer is usually
[23:42] you put it on the counter.
[23:43] Clearly a dripping one
[23:45] across my house.
[23:46] Hot water on your hand is you.
[23:50] It's toasty.
[23:51] Okay, so I've chosen
[23:53] the original donut shop,
[23:56] like either a combination
[23:58] of diner nostalgia
[23:59] and or Dunkin Donuts
[24:01] if you're from Boston.
[24:04] I'm going to press strong,
[24:07] which is at the top corner.
[24:09] I would like a strong cup of coffee
[24:10] and I'm going to guess 10 ounces
[24:15] even though that's probably generous.
[24:16] Then you have to press
[24:16] the big brew button
[24:17] right in the middle.
[24:18] And now there's a whirring sound
[24:21] and soon there's going to be
[24:23] the scent of coffee
[24:24] that's going to make it feel
[24:25] like it's the morning.
[24:26] It does smell nice.
[24:27] It does.
[24:28] All right, so while we're brewing,
[24:30] this obviously not the first one
[24:32] that shipped.
[24:32] The one behind this
[24:33] is the first one that shipped.
[24:33] This is called the B100.
[24:35] And this is, again,
[24:36] very funny name
[24:37] for your first product.
[24:38] But this is the one
[24:39] that Keurig decides to ship.
[24:40] They want to get it in people's houses.
[24:41] They spent a long time
[24:43] getting the size down,
[24:44] making it sort of simple and easy
[24:46] and look non-threatening.
[24:48] It is incredibly uncomplicated,
[24:50] which is a big part of the deal.
[24:51] One thing I really enjoyed about this
[24:52] and it's useful to remember
[24:53] that the idea of this
[24:55] does not exist, right?
[24:56] That sounds like a stupid thing to say,
[24:57] but this is not an experience
[24:59] people had had before.
[25:00] This is starting to become a thing
[25:02] as the original in-office Keurig
[25:05] became so popular.
[25:06] Other companies started
[25:07] to build things like this.
[25:08] So actually Keurig
[25:10] in its in-home products
[25:11] was not that far ahead of the game
[25:13] in that sense.
[25:14] But people had not had
[25:15] this experience before.
[25:16] So people didn't actually believe
[25:17] that this could possibly
[25:18] make decent coffee.
[25:20] So the big marketing push for Keurig
[25:22] is they would actually go to stores,
[25:25] grocery stores, all kinds of places
[25:27] around the country
[25:28] and just sit there
[25:29] and make coffee for people.
[25:30] That was the whole marketing strategy.
[25:32] Like Costco and the samples.
[25:33] A hundred percent.
[25:34] And it was the thing
[25:35] that they were trying
[25:36] to prove to people
[25:37] was that it was good
[25:38] and that it was fast.
[25:40] And those turned out to be
[25:41] the two things
[25:43] that really made Keurig work
[25:45] for people is,
[25:46] oh, I don't have to go
[25:48] through the process
[25:48] and the waiting of making
[25:49] a whole cup of coffee.
[25:50] I can go from nothing
[25:51] to a cup of coffee
[25:52] with essentially no effort
[25:54] and like 60 seconds.
[25:56] And that ends up
[25:57] being a powerful thing.
[25:58] If I'm remembering too correctly,
[25:59] Keurig at launch two
[26:01] was one of the more
[26:02] premium models, correct?
[26:03] This was far and above
[26:06] more than what people
[26:07] were spending on their average
[26:08] home coffee maker.
[26:10] Oh, totally.
[26:10] Yeah, the thing was,
[26:11] the thing was,
[26:12] it was like a couple hundred dollars
[26:13] and it was not.
[26:14] Even today, that feels,
[26:16] that feels pricey.
[26:16] Oh yeah.
[26:17] Absolutely.
[26:18] So I have to say
[26:19] the Green Mountain
[26:20] smelled delightful
[26:22] when it was brewing
[26:24] and this smells like burned coffee.
[26:26] It smells like it burned already.
[26:28] It really does.
[26:28] It does.
[26:29] The smell in here
[26:30] has gotten notably worse
[26:31] since you started.
[26:33] I know.
[26:34] Cheers.
[26:35] Morgan, I'm sorry you're not here.
[26:36] It's okay.
[26:36] Cheers.
[26:39] And it tastes like it.
[26:42] See, mine's actually not bad.
[26:44] That is like the hot piece of cup of coffee.
[26:45] I almost felt like I saw
[26:46] like a recoil
[26:47] that happened a little bit.
[26:48] It's hot.
[26:49] It is, it is hot.
[26:51] This is ordinarily
[26:52] the coffee I would put
[26:53] the most milk in
[26:54] just to, it brings it down
[26:56] and it evens it out.
[26:57] But this is,
[26:57] this is not the worst
[26:58] cup of coffee I've ever had.
[26:59] Okay.
[26:59] I have to say also,
[27:00] this is, I mean, yours,
[27:02] I bet, is better.
[27:03] But like the, the strength of this
[27:06] is better than the one
[27:06] I make at home.
[27:07] But I have one of those,
[27:10] fill your own beans.
[27:12] But I clearly am not
[27:13] putting enough coffee in it.
[27:14] Yeah.
[27:15] So again, this is,
[27:16] this is sort of the whole idea,
[27:17] right, is they try to make this
[27:19] an unscrewable product.
[27:22] And in the first one,
[27:23] there aren't these options
[27:24] for like, do you want it
[27:24] weak or strong?
[27:25] How many ounces do you want?
[27:26] It's essentially just a power button
[27:28] and a brew button.
[27:29] The idea is, don't worry about it.
[27:32] We will handle the coffee for you.
[27:34] You just put in the coffee
[27:35] that you want
[27:35] and out will come delicious coffee.
[27:36] This works very well for people.
[27:39] So this thing is immediately a hit.
[27:40] It gets great reviews.
[27:41] Lots of people start to buy it.
[27:43] It sort of immediately validates
[27:45] this whole single serve coffee thing
[27:48] in people's minds.
[27:49] And then two years
[27:50] after the first one comes out
[27:51] in 2006, Green Mountain,
[27:53] this company,
[27:55] which is one of Keurig's
[27:56] biggest investors
[27:57] and a huge coffee maker at the time
[28:00] just acquires all of Keurig.
[28:02] It winds up valuing Keurig
[28:04] at about 160 million dollars,
[28:06] which I would remind you,
[28:08] John Sylvan sold his half
[28:09] of the company for 50 grand.
[28:11] That's a tough beat.
[28:13] Melissa, you were saying before
[28:14] that one of the funny things
[28:15] about this story
[28:15] is that Green Mountain bought Keurig.
[28:17] Yes, it's sort of like today
[28:18] you think about like environmentalism
[28:20] and Bernie Sanders,
[28:22] not like capitalist Keurig
[28:26] K-Pods.
[28:29] Yeah, it's very true.
[28:31] So at this point,
[28:32] the sort of Keurig story
[28:34] on its own, the Brewer story,
[28:36] moves very fast.
[28:38] They now come in lots of shapes and sizes.
[28:39] They start to have more expensive models
[28:42] and less expensive models.
[28:43] They make models
[28:43] that can brew a pot of coffee
[28:45] and a single cup of coffee.
[28:46] They branch out into hot chocolate
[28:48] and tea.
[28:48] They start trying to do more stuff.
[28:50] But fundamentally,
[28:51] it is still the thing
[28:52] that it always was, right?
[28:53] It is a thing that you put a pot into,
[28:56] you stick your coffee mug under,
[28:57] and it makes you coffee.
[28:58] The end.
[28:58] Then two things simultaneously
[29:00] start to happen,
[29:01] which I think are very interesting.
[29:02] One, everybody else tries
[29:04] to get in this game.
[29:05] And the first way a lot of people
[29:07] try to get into this game
[29:08] is by making K-cups
[29:10] that are not made by Keurig,
[29:13] essentially bootleg K-cups.
[29:15] And because this is the business,
[29:17] right?
[29:18] They're still selling these things
[29:19] and not making a huge amount of money.
[29:20] All of the money is in the K-cups
[29:21] because like per cup,
[29:23] it's way more expensive
[29:25] to make Keurig coffee
[29:26] than it is to just brew a pot of coffee.
[29:28] But there's nothing preventing
[29:31] other people from putting
[29:32] their stuff in these machines.
[29:34] So other people start to do.
[29:35] So they're, on the one hand,
[29:36] this is great news, right?
[29:37] Like all of a sudden,
[29:38] the amount of different kinds of coffee
[29:41] you can get in K-cup form
[29:43] just explodes.
[29:44] Keurig decides to fight this
[29:47] in a big, big, big way
[29:48] because this is the company's money maker.
[29:50] So they do essentially two things.
[29:52] They become kind of a patent troll.
[29:54] They start suing people.
[29:55] They start picking big fights
[29:56] or rather patents.
[29:57] And they release a new Keurig
[30:00] with DRM.
[30:01] And this Keurig will only brew
[30:04] Keurig official K-cups.
[30:06] And this I would say
[30:07] is the first giant dent
[30:09] in the reputation of Keurig
[30:11] as not a company
[30:12] that cares so much
[30:13] about making great coffee
[30:14] but is just trying to sell you
[30:15] really expensive K-cups.
[30:17] This is one of my favorite
[30:18] sort of alternate universe moments
[30:19] of this story,
[30:20] which is if Keurig had decided
[30:23] not to pick that fight
[30:24] and close down
[30:25] and try to sort of own
[30:26] the whole experience of itself.
[30:27] And instead had just tried
[30:28] to like open way up
[30:30] and become this like open platform
[30:32] for lots of people
[30:33] to make lots of coffee,
[30:34] lots of different ways.
[30:35] Maybe like the whole idea
[30:37] of single serve coffee
[30:38] and the way that we think about
[30:40] what Keurig is
[30:41] and the way that we make coffee
[30:42] might now might have changed
[30:43] in really cool interesting ways.
[30:45] Morgan, I'm curious
[30:46] for your thoughts on this
[30:46] as like a from a pure
[30:48] like how we make coffee experiment.
[30:51] Is there a world in which Keurig
[30:54] sort of says everybody make coffee
[30:56] in our pot the way that you want.
[30:57] It's just a pot.
[30:58] Do whatever you want.
[30:59] And we get like a whole unbelievable range
[31:01] of cool kinds of coffee
[31:02] inside of Keurig
[31:03] or like is a cake up,
[31:04] a cake up, a cake up.
[31:05] You know, it's kind of interesting
[31:06] because I like love the idea
[31:09] of a world where,
[31:10] you know, you have specialty roasters,
[31:14] you have like your mom and pop shops
[31:15] like all able to sell their coffee
[31:18] in this way
[31:19] that everyone can experience it
[31:20] the same way brewed well
[31:22] like in their homes.
[31:23] And I think because Keurig
[31:26] didn't allow that
[31:27] and then kind of like
[31:28] forced people to work
[31:30] within their systems,
[31:31] get really used to like
[31:32] the pod systems
[31:33] in the last like five or six years
[31:36] we've seen a lot of new
[31:38] different branded brewers come out
[31:40] that are emulating
[31:41] that sort of pod system.
[31:43] It feels very familiar
[31:45] but it targets towards that
[31:46] like higher end
[31:47] more customizable market.
[31:48] And so I like I feel like
[31:50] we're kind of seen a little bit
[31:51] of like how that alternate universe
[31:53] would have played out now
[31:55] all these years later
[31:55] with different tech.
[31:56] But you know looking back
[31:58] it's like I fully understand
[32:00] why they did what they did.
[32:01] It makes a ton of sense
[32:03] but I think it could have been
[32:06] such a cool world to see
[32:09] everyone be able to opt
[32:10] into this like open source
[32:11] coffee brewing system.
[32:13] Absolutely.
[32:14] I agree. I think there just would
[32:15] have been something so cool.
[32:16] And this especially gets weird
[32:17] in 2012 which is when
[32:18] the K-cut patent expires.
[32:21] That's when the competition
[32:22] sort of explodes.
[32:23] Keurig starts to lose some of its shine.
[32:24] This is the moment there were
[32:25] like a million Keurig competitors out there.
[32:27] Everybody was starting to make
[32:28] weird different kinds of K-cups.
[32:29] And then they sort of lock
[32:30] it down again with the DRM
[32:33] and this becomes a big
[32:35] sort of reputational problem.
[32:36] But the bigger reputational problem
[32:38] which is I almost just said brewing
[32:41] and that's a pun that sucks.
[32:43] Which is also starting to happen
[32:46] around the same time
[32:48] is that people are starting
[32:49] to question the environmental costs
[32:52] of Keurig and K-cups in particular.
[32:55] Melissa I know you've been
[32:57] you've been reading up
[32:57] and researching on this.
[32:58] Like my sense is this becomes
[32:59] a huge deal and a huge problem
[33:01] for Keurig very quickly.
[33:04] I think so.
[33:05] I mean I think that it parallels
[33:07] with the rise of like Instagram
[33:10] for example when there's more
[33:11] like of calling out of businesses
[33:13] or call out culture
[33:14] because it's sort of like popcorn
[33:17] that can't control the narrative anymore
[33:18] because there are so many platforms
[33:20] for them to get essentially called out
[33:24] for how they're harming the environment.
[33:26] And also at a time when there's
[33:27] an uptick of people politically
[33:30] and personally caring
[33:32] about the environment where like
[33:33] if that were at this moment
[33:34] where it's sort of muted a bit
[33:38] that might not be the case
[33:39] but just at that trajectory
[33:41] it was a big deal.
[33:42] Yeah and this hits a really
[33:43] interesting point in 2014.
[33:46] Mother Jones runs this story
[33:48] where they did math that said
[33:50] you could circle the globe
[33:52] with all of the K-cups
[33:53] that had been produced in that year
[33:54] if you just line them up side by side
[33:56] you could circle the globe
[33:57] ten and a half times.
[33:58] Which is A, a testament
[33:59] to how unbelievably successful
[34:01] this thing had become.
[34:02] It was just absolutely ubiquitous.
[34:04] Like I feel like there was a time
[34:06] where you couldn't go into
[34:10] like a dentist's office,
[34:12] a house,
[34:13] a debt clinic,
[34:16] anywhere people sat down
[34:18] there was a Keurig.
[34:19] It was unbelievable.
[34:21] Like it was just completely
[34:22] ubiquitous in society.
[34:23] And so Mother Jones runs this story
[34:24] and I think it's something
[34:25] about that image of that
[34:28] many K-cups being made
[34:29] circling the globe ten
[34:30] and a half times stuck.
[34:32] And that number, Keurig has disputed
[34:34] that number many times.
[34:37] But I think even that,
[34:39] the dispute says
[34:40] it's sort of directionally correct
[34:42] and has haunted them for forever.
[34:45] And as this is starting to happen
[34:48] this video comes out
[34:50] called Kill the K-cup.
[34:51] Do you guys remember this?
[34:52] Yes.
[34:52] Let me just play
[34:54] the Kill the K-cup video
[34:55] so you can see it.
[35:05] We're in an office
[35:06] and there's an explosion.
[35:09] This is so wonderfully old school YouTube.
[35:12] And outside it starts cleaning K-cups.
[35:22] There's a huge spaceship
[35:23] it looks kind of like a cupcake.
[35:26] Whoa!
[35:27] Launching K-cups.
[35:30] People are calling on the ground.
[35:33] And then there's the K-cup monster.
[35:36] So good Godzilla.
[35:39] I love this visual of like
[35:41] the army firing machine guns
[35:43] at a K-cup monster.
[35:47] K-cups invading Earth.
[35:49] The sound design is wonderful.
[35:51] It's really good.
[35:52] And then it ends with this big
[35:54] kill the K-cup
[35:55] before it kills our planet.
[35:57] Hashtag kill the K-cup.
[35:59] Incredible.
[36:00] This goes so viral
[36:03] and becomes a huge problem
[36:06] for Keurig.
[36:07] Kill the K-cup
[36:08] becomes this like trending topic
[36:10] all over social media.
[36:12] We end up with this
[36:13] like long running problem.
[36:15] And by the way,
[36:16] the top comment I think
[36:17] on the YouTube video
[36:18] for Kill the K-cup
[36:20] says it appears to be
[36:22] from a YouTube account
[36:23] belonging to John Sylvan,
[36:24] the creator of Keurig.
[36:26] And it says,
[36:27] sorry, PS, I don't use them.
[36:30] Wow.
[36:30] I was not 100% able to confirm
[36:33] that it was John,
[36:34] but I'm pretty sure it was.
[36:36] And it certainly looks like it was.
[36:38] In the course of figuring out
[36:39] what's going on here,
[36:41] it turns out that the big culprit here
[36:42] of all the stuff going on
[36:43] is the cups themselves
[36:45] are made out of what's called
[36:46] number seven plastic.
[36:48] And number seven plastic
[36:49] is essentially the other category of plastic.
[36:52] It could just mean anything,
[36:54] whatever you want it to be.
[36:55] And it turns out
[36:56] this kind of plastic
[36:57] is very hard to recycle.
[36:59] And even if you do recycle it,
[37:01] it's very dangerous
[37:02] for the people
[37:02] who have to process it.
[37:03] So Keurig comes out and says,
[37:04] actually, it's not as bad as you think.
[37:07] Most of the parts are recyclable.
[37:08] And the response to that
[37:09] is everybody's like,
[37:10] well, who in their right mind
[37:12] is going to neatly take apart
[37:14] each one of their K-cups
[37:15] in order to recycle
[37:16] some of the parts
[37:17] that are recyclable.
[37:17] And then Keurig also makes a case,
[37:19] which I think is more interesting
[37:22] and compelling,
[37:23] which is that
[37:24] there's a really strong case
[37:25] to be made that pods
[37:26] are actually more efficient
[37:26] in their brewing.
[37:27] They use the coffee grounds
[37:30] more efficiently
[37:31] than some other ways
[37:32] of brewing coffee,
[37:33] that the machines
[37:34] use electricity more efficiently,
[37:37] that there are some real upsides
[37:38] to this.
[37:38] And actually, this debate
[37:40] has turned out to be
[37:40] more complicated
[37:42] than I realized.
[37:43] But it does seem like
[37:45] there is essentially
[37:46] no argument to be made
[37:47] that the K-cups themselves
[37:48] are anything other
[37:49] than kind of an environmental
[37:52] disaster.
[37:52] And then the other thing
[37:53] that happens
[37:54] right around this same time
[37:55] is the Atlantic does an interview
[37:57] with John, the co-founder,
[37:59] who says
[38:00] that he doesn't own a Keurig.
[38:02] He says in an interview
[38:03] that he had bought one
[38:05] to sort of take it apart
[38:06] and see what had changed
[38:07] and was surprised
[38:07] at how little had changed
[38:08] in essentially 20 years
[38:10] that it was basically still
[38:11] the thing that they had designed.
[38:13] And then he was kind of like,
[38:14] I don't know how you'd make it
[38:15] better, it works.
[38:16] But he said he didn't have a Keurig.
[38:18] And then the quote from him is,
[38:19] it's not like drip coffee
[38:20] is tough to make.
[38:22] Incredible.
[38:25] So excellent.
[38:27] Yeah.
[38:27] Also, it's at that time,
[38:30] so this is 2015,
[38:31] there were studies
[38:32] that estimated that one
[38:33] in three households
[38:34] in the United States
[38:35] had a pod-based coffee machine.
[38:37] One in three,
[38:37] like this thing had absolutely
[38:38] taken over the world.
[38:40] Yeah, Keurig sold
[38:41] 9 billion K-cups that year
[38:43] in 2015, that one year.
[38:45] So John, who is evidently
[38:47] just excited to light
[38:48] this company on fire,
[38:49] continues in this interview
[38:50] with the Atlantic
[38:50] no matter what they say
[38:51] about recycling,
[38:52] those things will never
[38:53] be recyclable.
[38:54] The plastic is a specialized
[38:55] plastic made of
[38:55] four different layers.
[38:56] Scorched earth.
[38:58] Yeah, and he ends up
[38:58] on this like years-long
[39:00] apology tour,
[39:01] essentially saying,
[39:03] I regret this invention.
[39:04] We never should have done this.
[39:06] It's so bad for the planet
[39:07] that it was a bad idea
[39:09] and we never should have
[39:09] done it in the first place.
[39:10] I mean, I've been looking
[39:12] at the Green Mountain container
[39:14] and it still says,
[39:15] peel the lid and dispose
[39:17] and recycle, check locally
[39:19] to recycle empty cup.
[39:21] Like, why would you do this
[39:22] for every pod?
[39:23] No one did.
[39:24] Like, just factually no one did.
[39:26] No one.
[39:28] And John was like developing
[39:30] these ideas he seems to have
[39:32] sort of simultaneously
[39:33] dissuaded himself
[39:34] that this was a good idea
[39:35] and also had some ideas
[39:37] about what he might do.
[39:37] And his big idea was
[39:40] take coffee
[39:40] and put it in a centrifuge
[39:41] and it comes apart.
[39:42] Then you take the parts
[39:43] and combine them back
[39:44] when you make the coffee.
[39:45] So you could use something
[39:46] like a ketchup foil pack
[39:47] and the separate parts
[39:47] won't become oxidized
[39:48] when they're stored
[39:49] and transported.
[39:50] Then you can combine them again
[39:51] at the last minute
[39:51] while you're making coffee.
[39:52] I bring this up
[39:53] because I have this memory
[39:54] of a few years ago
[39:57] a bunch of companies
[39:58] trying to find ways to do
[40:00] not quite exactly this,
[40:01] but this question of like,
[40:03] are there other better ways
[40:05] to make coffee last longer?
[40:08] Like, I don't know if either
[40:09] of you ever remember
[40:10] this company Comiteer.
[40:11] Yes.
[40:11] I was going to bring them up.
[40:13] Oh, yeah.
[40:13] Yeah.
[40:13] Okay. Tell us about Comiteer.
[40:15] Yeah. Comiteer is
[40:16] an interesting company
[40:17] that does a single-serpent coffee
[40:20] and they come in these small,
[40:22] I believe they're aluminum capsules.
[40:25] They look like pods.
[40:26] Essentially, it's a very familiar shape,
[40:27] but inside is essentially
[40:30] a frozen coffee concentrate.
[40:31] They brew it
[40:32] at a concentrated form.
[40:34] It's very proprietary,
[40:35] but essentially,
[40:35] they're using liquid nitrogen
[40:37] to freeze coffee
[40:38] at ideally peak freshness
[40:40] and then you store these pods
[40:42] in the freezer
[40:43] and then in the morning
[40:44] to make this coffee,
[40:46] you drop a frozen pod
[40:48] into your cup,
[40:49] add hot water
[40:50] and it dilutes down
[40:51] to that drinkable ratio.
[40:53] So it's like very,
[40:54] very similar in the sense
[40:54] that it takes you 15,
[40:56] 20 seconds in the morning
[40:58] to like assemble this.
[40:59] Is it good coffee?
[40:59] What do you think?
[41:00] It's pretty dang good.
[41:01] Comiteer, like wow.
[41:03] Well, it's very tasty,
[41:05] but also they have gone
[41:08] like off the bat immediately
[41:10] the route of not doing
[41:12] a bulk of the coffee,
[41:14] like sourcing
[41:15] and roasting themselves.
[41:16] Like they immediately went
[41:18] into the partnership
[41:19] and licensing category
[41:20] and so they opted to work
[41:22] with like some of the best
[41:23] roasters in the world
[41:25] specifically to put
[41:26] really high-end coffee
[41:28] into these tiny
[41:29] like instantaneous capsules.
[41:31] Yeah, Melissa, have you ever
[41:32] had Comiteer coffee?
[41:33] I have not, have you?
[41:33] It's actually, it is pretty good.
[41:35] It's very expensive.
[41:36] Yes.
[41:36] I forget the price,
[41:37] but it is like it is
[41:39] sort of painfully expensive
[41:40] to think of even something
[41:42] kind of like instant coffee.
[41:44] But it is, I would say,
[41:45] of these things that you can make
[41:47] with almost no effort
[41:48] and in one minute,
[41:48] it's probably the best one
[41:50] I've ever had.
[41:50] I've not tried them all,
[41:51] but it is head and shoulders
[41:53] above Keurig for sure.
[41:54] Okay.
[41:54] But anyway, so I think this idea
[41:56] of how do we do this better
[41:57] has not died, right?
[41:59] And Keurig even continues
[42:00] to push on this.
[42:01] They made promises about
[42:04] becoming energy efficient
[42:06] and recyclable
[42:07] and doing all this stuff
[42:08] and the deadline was 2020
[42:09] and they didn't meet that
[42:10] and then they did meet that,
[42:12] but then they were legally challenged
[42:13] for whether they actually
[42:14] met that.
[42:14] So Keurig, I would say,
[42:15] has made a lot of promises
[42:17] which have come to varying levels
[42:19] of truth.
[42:20] And yet all the time,
[42:22] this company just continues
[42:23] to sell like crazy.
[42:25] They sell tons of brewers.
[42:27] They sell tons of K-cups.
[42:29] The numbers continue to go up
[42:31] about the percentages
[42:32] of them in households.
[42:33] I mean, they have just
[42:35] absolutely conquered America
[42:37] in particular as a coffee
[42:38] drinking world.
[42:40] And actually, this might be
[42:41] a good moment to pause
[42:42] because I think the fact
[42:43] that it is a mostly American
[42:45] thing is sort of interesting.
[42:47] And I wonder if either
[42:49] of you can maybe try
[42:51] to explain what is unique
[42:52] about American coffee culture
[42:54] versus coffee culture elsewhere.
[42:56] I think unlike Italy
[42:59] or Austria or something like that,
[43:01] our coffee culture
[43:03] has not been rooted in excellence
[43:05] and it has been something
[43:07] that we...
[43:09] I mean, think about things
[43:10] like a chock full of nuts
[43:12] or Folgers or whatever.
[43:14] I mean, if you drink
[43:15] a cup of that right now,
[43:16] you'd be like,
[43:16] oh my God, what is this?
[43:20] And I feel like
[43:20] that's what our grandparents
[43:22] were drinking.
[43:23] And so this...
[43:24] Shout out to my father-in-law.
[43:25] He's drinking it every day.
[43:26] This might be in the same,
[43:28] maybe slightly better category.
[43:30] And so I feel like
[43:31] Americans prize convenience
[43:33] over the ritual
[43:36] or culture of drinking coffee
[43:38] and taking the time to do it
[43:40] and connecting with somebody else
[43:42] over a standing table in a cafe.
[43:44] Yeah, I was going to say too
[43:45] very similarly.
[43:46] To me, I think the Keurig
[43:48] is very emblematic
[43:49] of just our coffee-drinking culture
[43:52] in general,
[43:52] where it's very much prioritized
[43:55] by high caffeine,
[43:57] a very capitalist,
[43:59] productivity-driven society.
[44:01] And so you want your coffee
[44:02] to be very utilitarian.
[44:04] You want it to be fast
[44:06] and convenient.
[44:06] And you're also taking it to go
[44:08] most of the time.
[44:09] The U.S. has a...
[44:10] Especially when it comes
[44:11] to coffee shops,
[44:12] a really interesting culture
[44:14] where it's a majority
[44:15] of how people interact
[44:16] with coffee shops,
[44:17] especially in cities,
[44:18] is in a to-go fashion
[44:20] where they're getting
[44:21] large cups of coffee
[44:22] and taking it out
[44:23] into the workday immediately.
[44:24] Whereas a lot of European countries,
[44:27] Italy, as you mentioned,
[44:29] Melissa too,
[44:30] their coffee culture
[44:31] is so rooted in the routine
[44:33] and the pause and moment
[44:36] of having time with your coffee
[44:38] rather than just viewing it
[44:40] as a tool to like get you
[44:42] to the next thing in your day.
[44:44] Yeah, and I mean Keurig
[44:46] in all of those things
[44:47] makes perfect sense.
[44:48] A thing I've been trying to figure out
[44:49] is like, do we blame Keurig
[44:51] for all of those things?
[44:53] Or is it just a symptom
[44:54] of all of those things, right?
[44:55] I just think it harnessed it.
[44:57] Yeah.
[44:58] And Keurig makes us
[44:59] look ourselves in the mirror.
[45:03] Asking, what am I doing?
[45:05] Keurig is America.
[45:07] So and actually to that point,
[45:09] that's actually a really funny way
[45:10] to think about what happens to Keurig
[45:11] over sort of the decade before now,
[45:13] which is Keurig kind of gets
[45:15] a bunch of weird ideas
[45:16] that maybe the way that we do coffee
[45:17] is the way we want to do everything.
[45:19] So they make this machine
[45:20] called the Keurig cold,
[45:21] which is going to go
[45:24] and make cold beverages.
[45:25] You can make a Coca-Cola
[45:27] with a Keurig,
[45:28] which I would argue
[45:29] just completely misunderstands
[45:30] the thing that we're doing here.
[45:32] This is a no.
[45:33] That machine cost $370.
[45:35] Oh no.
[45:36] It was an enormous failure
[45:37] and it went away in less than a year.
[45:39] It was so bad that Keurig ends up
[45:40] refunding everybody who had bought one.
[45:42] Oh my God.
[45:44] It was such a disaster.
[45:45] But there was also,
[45:46] there was a time when
[45:47] you could make soup in a Keurig.
[45:49] They had this thing about like,
[45:50] okay, we have built a system
[45:53] by which we can force water into stuff.
[45:56] What can we force water into?
[45:58] And that is not what Keurig is.
[46:00] Keurig was a coffee machine
[46:02] and I think they have
[46:02] finally at long last begun to learn that.
[46:05] There's also a bunch of weird
[46:07] corporate shenanigans happening.
[46:08] So Keurig gets bought by Green Mountain,
[46:10] becomes Keurig Green Mountain,
[46:11] which then becomes acquired
[46:13] by a private equity firm
[46:15] and merged with Dr. Pepper Snapple,
[46:17] which forms the Keurig,
[46:18] the company Keurig Dr. Pepper,
[46:20] which is now at the,
[46:21] at the kind of the moment
[46:23] we record this
[46:24] being split back into two.
[46:25] So Keurig has gone through
[46:26] this wild series of corporate mergers
[46:28] and is now actually going to go
[46:30] back out into being its own company.
[46:31] And the company bought Pete's
[46:32] and is now attempting to be
[46:34] kind of a coffee conglomerate
[46:36] under the Keurig name.
[46:38] So Keurig may be due for
[46:40] a very different run
[46:41] in a different direction
[46:42] of the coffee world,
[46:43] but has been through an awful lot
[46:45] and has just sold so much coffee
[46:47] along the way.
[46:48] Like this company,
[46:49] for all the mess that it's had,
[46:51] has continued to be a huge hit.
[46:53] And Morgan, you kind of alluded
[46:54] to this earlier,
[46:55] but one of the interesting problems
[46:56] that Keurig has had
[46:57] is that their machines
[46:58] actually last a really long time.
[47:01] And in a K-cup world,
[47:03] in a world where you're just trying
[47:04] to sell a lot of K-cups,
[47:05] this is largely good news,
[47:06] but I think
[47:07] the company is trying to do
[47:10] more futuristic things
[47:11] and do different things
[47:12] and come up with more
[47:13] environmental ways to do things.
[47:14] And they've had to find ways
[47:16] to be sort of incredibly
[47:17] backwards compatible to like,
[47:19] these things that we just put
[47:20] in this brand new machine
[47:20] that Travis our producer
[47:22] bought an hour ago,
[47:23] will work in the very first one
[47:24] that they ever shipped.
[47:25] Oh my god, really?
[47:26] That's a big deal.
[47:27] And this ends up being,
[47:28] I think, a real problem for Keurig
[47:29] because even if you want
[47:30] to move forward,
[47:32] you kind of can't
[47:33] because if you stop
[47:34] selling the K-cups
[47:35] to all the people
[47:35] who bought the old Keurigs,
[47:37] you risk losing a customer entirely
[47:39] and all of the money you're making
[47:40] is from these K-cups.
[47:41] So they've put themselves
[47:42] in kind of an odd position.
[47:44] And I bring this up
[47:45] because the place I want to leave
[47:47] this story before we get into
[47:48] the version history questions
[47:49] is with K-rounds.
[47:50] Do you guys know about K-rounds?
[47:52] No.
[47:52] I don't know about K-rounds, no.
[47:54] Yes!
[47:54] Oh, this makes me so happy.
[47:55] Okay.
[47:57] So in 2024,
[47:58] and remember Keurig a few times
[48:00] has had big ideas
[48:02] about how to do
[48:03] more environmentally friendly things,
[48:05] right?
[48:05] Like they understand
[48:06] that the environmental problems
[48:08] are a drain on the brand.
[48:10] They make people not want to buy
[48:12] or use Keurig.
[48:13] Even there's like,
[48:14] we've been sort of talking
[48:15] about this moral conflict
[48:16] of being a Keurig drinker.
[48:17] One of the real things is like,
[48:18] I'm creating a tremendous amount
[48:19] of waste every time I do it
[48:21] and people feel that.
[48:22] And so Keurig has been looking
[48:23] for ways to solve this for forever.
[48:24] They make a lot
[48:25] of complicated environmental promises.
[48:26] There are the reusable K-cups,
[48:29] which I think it sounds like
[48:30] you've used Melissa.
[48:31] And they're like,
[48:32] that's a solution
[48:33] and a problem all at the same time.
[48:35] They're pretty terrible.
[48:36] Yeah, and it's like by the time
[48:37] I'm grinding my own coffee
[48:38] and putting it in,
[48:39] what am I doing here?
[48:40] Yeah, that's exactly it.
[48:42] I'm like mashing in
[48:43] this little thing
[48:44] and it's like, what is this?
[48:45] Yeah, but so in 2024,
[48:48] Keurig comes out
[48:50] with this huge announcement
[48:52] and is essentially like,
[48:52] we've fixed it.
[48:53] We have come up with the new thing
[48:56] and it's called K-rounds.
[48:57] And I'm just gonna,
[48:58] I'm gonna play you
[48:59] one small part of what amounts
[49:01] to like a six minute long
[49:02] infomercial for K-rounds.
[49:04] Okay.
[49:04] Here it is.
[49:05] We were developing the K-rounds.
[49:07] We went back to basics,
[49:08] went and watched how barista
[49:10] would make the finest coffee.
[49:13] Baristas tamp down the coffee
[49:15] before they pull an espresso shot.
[49:17] And we thought,
[49:18] what if we took that
[49:18] a little bit further
[49:19] and actually compacted the coffee
[49:21] enough to have it
[49:22] hold itself together?
[49:24] Thought we don't need
[49:25] that plastic cup anymore.
[49:27] That plastic cup limited
[49:28] how much coffee
[49:29] you could pack into it.
[49:30] The amount of pressures
[49:31] that the vessel could withstand
[49:33] when brewing,
[49:34] breaking free of that constraint,
[49:36] it gives us a lot of opportunity
[49:37] to build better
[49:38] and different brewing technology.
[49:40] The K-rounds are going to be available
[49:42] in an espresso shot size,
[49:44] a double shot size,
[49:45] a traditional coffee size,
[49:46] and even a slightly larger pod
[49:48] for a tall, refreshing, cold coffee.
[49:50] So that's K-rounds.
[49:51] K-rounds are,
[49:52] they look like basically
[49:54] a little round brownie of coffee.
[49:58] But what it is,
[49:58] is incredibly condensed coffee grounds
[50:00] that are designed to not,
[50:02] like they said,
[50:03] not need a container,
[50:04] not need a shape,
[50:04] you can just take it out
[50:05] and put it in.
[50:06] Morgan, you're a barista.
[50:07] They said,
[50:08] they said this is baristas.
[50:10] Hit me with your reactions.
[50:10] What do you think?
[50:11] I was fascinated by that.
[50:14] I was very curious
[50:15] when they were talking about the type,
[50:16] but it sounds like that,
[50:18] like those are made,
[50:19] at least some of them
[50:20] for espresso style beverages
[50:22] if I was understanding
[50:23] that correctly,
[50:24] which is kind of interesting
[50:25] because that's like,
[50:26] very much not what Keurig
[50:28] has historically done
[50:29] that's been like
[50:29] Nespresso's territory.
[50:31] One of the major concerns
[50:32] that I automatically have off the bat
[50:34] is like coffee freshness.
[50:36] The minute coffee starts to oxidize
[50:39] the minute you have it
[50:40] like stored open air,
[50:42] like you're losing flavor quality
[50:44] and also like brewing potential
[50:45] super, super quickly.
[50:47] So as fun as that was,
[50:49] I have so many,
[50:49] I have so many questions
[50:50] I must ask,
[50:52] but I think they're,
[50:53] I think they're adorable.
[50:55] I mean, it does like if you,
[50:57] on the very surface of it,
[51:00] the idea seems like
[51:00] it sort of makes sense, right?
[51:02] It appeals to me in a way.
[51:03] It took so long, kind of, you know?
[51:04] Yes.
[51:06] Yeah.
[51:06] So Keurig showed these off in 2024
[51:09] and this is a big deal
[51:10] and this was part of
[51:11] a new system called Alta
[51:13] that Keurig was coming out with
[51:15] and this is going to be
[51:15] the most all-in-one thing
[51:18] Keurig has ever shipped.
[51:19] This is sort of the,
[51:20] like the ultimate Keurig
[51:22] and this is also importantly
[51:25] not backwards compatible.
[51:26] Like this is a,
[51:26] this is a break
[51:27] in the Keurig system.
[51:28] This thing has not shipped.
[51:29] It's been two years.
[51:30] There was just an update
[51:31] very recently from Keurig
[51:33] that said it is estimated
[51:35] to be shipping this fall, 2026.
[51:38] I would say most Keurig
[51:39] watchers are deeply skeptical of that.
[51:42] Keurig is saying
[51:42] they're beta testing this,
[51:44] which is a very funny way
[51:44] to think about what you would do
[51:46] with a new way of making coffee.
[51:49] But it's out there.
[51:50] This is, this is apparently
[51:52] the big plan.
[51:53] Is this the thing?
[51:54] Like to phase this out?
[51:55] If not phase it out,
[51:56] at least like really move
[51:59] every new Keurig buyer to K rounds.
[52:02] Like Keurig wants you to see this
[52:04] as not only Keurig being a good
[52:07] and better and new company,
[52:09] but also this is now
[52:10] the way that you do it.
[52:11] This is kind of interesting to me
[52:13] because this also isn't like
[52:15] totally new technology
[52:17] or method of making coffee.
[52:18] I'm forgetting the name
[52:20] of the brand right now,
[52:21] but there is like
[52:22] in market currently.
[52:23] I believe they're a European brand
[52:25] that makes what they call
[52:26] like coffee balls
[52:27] and it's that same principle
[52:29] of like just a compacted coffee
[52:31] ball that goes
[52:32] into their proprietary machine
[52:34] podless and then brews.
[52:36] I've never seen coffee balls before.
[52:38] This is awesome.
[52:39] So amazing name.
[52:40] So truly.
[52:42] Yeah, and I do think we're at this
[52:45] idea of experimenting again
[52:47] with how do we make coffee
[52:48] that is convenient and better.
[52:50] Feels like it's starting to happen.
[52:52] And I guess this is where,
[52:53] you know, we talked at the beginning
[52:54] about how this sort of third wave
[52:56] coffee is coming.
[52:58] I think Starbucks
[52:59] in a lot of ways is like early
[53:00] to identifying this idea that,
[53:02] oh, what if a coffee shop
[53:02] was a place you could go
[53:03] and hang out on purpose
[53:05] and really made a huge business
[53:08] out of that
[53:08] and then lost that thread a little bit
[53:10] and is now trying to get it back,
[53:11] it seems.
[53:11] But you have this huge rise
[53:13] in great coffee
[53:14] in the United States
[53:15] and this huge rise
[53:16] in ultra convenient at home coffee.
[53:19] And now it does feel like
[53:20] there is this increasing idea
[53:21] of like, what if we can bring
[53:22] those two things
[53:23] a little bit closer together
[53:24] that like, I don't know,
[53:25] I feel like I see more
[53:27] and more people every day
[53:28] being like the AeroPress is amazing.
[53:30] And it's like people are willing
[53:31] maybe now to do a little bit of work
[53:33] in service of better coffee
[53:34] or maybe pay a little more money
[53:36] in service of just as easy
[53:37] better coffee.
[53:38] I don't know, Morgan,
[53:39] you're the most steeped
[53:40] in this world of all of us.
[53:41] Is this gotta keep using
[53:42] coffee puns by accident?
[53:43] No, please, please.
[53:44] I love it.
[53:45] I'm eating it up.
[53:46] This is awful.
[53:48] Do you see those things
[53:50] sort of running at each other right now?
[53:51] I think so.
[53:52] I think like we're seen definitely
[53:55] especially in like my generation
[53:57] which is like a pretty
[53:58] young coffee drinker.
[54:00] Like there's this push back towards
[54:02] like maybe more analog,
[54:04] like more tactile routine methods
[54:07] of brewing coffee.
[54:08] And I think that is just a little bit
[54:10] part of like the natural cycle
[54:12] of behavior.
[54:12] It's like we go super heavy
[54:14] into convenience
[54:14] and there's always like
[54:15] the reaction of that
[54:16] and then the pendulum
[54:17] just keeps swinging back and forth.
[54:19] But I also think quite a bit
[54:20] of it has to do with COVID as well.
[54:24] Like there was during COVID
[54:26] when you know you couldn't have
[54:28] like excellent coffee
[54:29] at the coffee shop anymore
[54:30] because they were closed.
[54:31] There was this giant swing
[54:33] of manufacturers and companies
[54:35] making really easy accessible ways
[54:37] to make truly wonderful
[54:40] delicious coffee at home
[54:42] really easy in the same way
[54:44] that Keurig did.
[54:45] But now that coffee is just
[54:47] so much more tasty and better
[54:49] in like every single
[54:51] like step of the supply chain.
[54:53] And I think that was a lot of people's
[54:56] and like my generation's introduction
[54:57] to brewing coffee at home.
[54:59] And so now when Keurig's
[55:01] kind of coming in
[55:02] with this new method,
[55:04] it's like they're already
[55:05] kind of written off
[55:06] for being an old school method
[55:08] of brewing.
[55:09] But because there's been this
[55:11] like giant shift that focuses
[55:13] towards the home user,
[55:14] again outside of the cafe,
[55:16] it's like there's just so many
[55:18] different options
[55:19] that turns out they're not
[55:21] too hard to use
[55:22] and people are willing
[55:22] to go that extra effort,
[55:24] especially if it means
[55:25] they get to have like
[55:26] a really special moment
[55:27] brewing their coffee.
[55:28] Like there's kind of this reaction
[55:29] of like maybe we don't want
[55:31] the like go, go, go
[55:32] super speed
[55:33] like convenience focused coffee anymore.
[55:36] Melissa, you were nodding to that.
[55:37] What do you think?
[55:38] I feel like the other thing
[55:40] that's coming to pass now
[55:42] is that everything
[55:44] is becoming more expensive.
[55:45] And so even though we're past COVID,
[55:48] it feels like paying $7.16
[55:51] for a cup of regular coffee
[55:52] is a lot of money to do every day.
[55:54] And I think that we'll see
[55:56] more people who will say,
[55:57] yes, coffee is a need,
[55:59] but a coffee shop is a luxury
[56:02] or if not a luxury,
[56:04] not a necessity.
[56:05] And that we'll see people
[56:08] going to home brewing again.
[56:10] Yeah, that's interesting.
[56:11] I think that's right.
[56:12] Okay, that's a good place
[56:13] to stop for this one.
[56:14] Let's take a quick break
[56:15] and then we're going to come back
[56:16] and we're going to do
[56:16] the version history questions
[56:17] and we're going to decide
[56:18] once and for all
[56:18] if this thing's any good.
[56:20] We'll be right back.
[56:22] All right, we're back.
[56:25] It's time for the version
[56:26] history questions.
[56:27] The eight questions
[56:28] we ask about every product
[56:29] to see if we can figure out
[56:30] its true legacy.
[56:31] The first one is the time matrix,
[56:33] which is a very simple concept
[56:35] that makes perfect sense
[56:36] to everybody
[56:36] and nobody ever has
[56:37] any questions about it
[56:39] that maps idea versus time.
[56:41] Was this the right idea
[56:42] at the right time,
[56:42] the wrong idea
[56:43] at the wrong time
[56:44] or somewhere in between?
[56:45] Melissa, I'm curious
[56:46] for your thoughts on
[56:47] where Keurig belongs
[56:49] on this graph.
[56:50] I say it belongs
[56:51] in the center right
[56:53] of right idea,
[56:54] right time.
[56:55] Like dead on,
[56:56] right idea, right time?
[56:58] Not like the peak,
[56:59] but pretty close
[57:01] because people are paying
[57:03] more attention to coffee
[57:04] as we said
[57:05] and there's movement
[57:06] in specialty coffee
[57:08] and people are still at work
[57:11] making bad coffee
[57:12] and it feels like
[57:13] it was like a maelstrom
[57:16] of possibilities.
[57:18] Yeah, Morgan, what do you think?
[57:20] I tend to agree with that.
[57:21] Like I think like execution
[57:25] and like long,
[57:26] like separating out
[57:27] kind of this like environmental
[57:30] like aspect of the K-cups
[57:32] and all of that.
[57:33] I think like the right time
[57:36] for sure
[57:36] and also right idea.
[57:38] Like they were really ahead
[57:39] of the curve
[57:40] on like what like specifically
[57:42] America needed
[57:43] in terms of coffee makers.
[57:45] Yeah, I'm torn on this one
[57:46] because I think separating
[57:49] out the environmental piece,
[57:51] you're absolutely right.
[57:52] It's hard to split the two.
[57:54] Right, but I think the
[57:55] environmental story here
[57:56] is so important
[57:57] and winds up being so important
[57:59] in the history of this company
[58:01] that I feel like I kind of want
[58:02] to shove it further down
[58:03] towards wrong idea
[58:05] that it's like it got
[58:06] it got a bunch of this really right
[58:08] but it got one really important
[58:10] piece kind of wrong.
[58:11] Yes.
[58:12] And like maybe destroyed
[58:13] the planet as a result.
[58:14] Yeah, that makes sense.
[58:15] They made people make horror movies
[58:17] about K-cups destroying the planet.
[58:18] Yes.
[58:19] I think it can't be anything other
[58:21] than mostly right idea, right time
[58:22] because it did.
[58:23] I think if they hadn't done it
[58:24] when they did it,
[58:25] somebody would have figured out
[58:26] something like this
[58:27] a few years later.
[58:27] Because again, this thing
[58:28] where you look at your office
[58:29] coffee pot and you're like,
[58:30] this sucks.
[58:30] I wonder if I can do better
[58:32] surely occurred to other people
[58:34] and surely would have occurred
[58:34] to more of them after.
[58:36] But yeah, I feel like they just
[58:38] they whiffed on one part of it
[58:40] that wound up being a great business
[58:41] and a bad thing for the world.
[58:43] It's like for them as a company,
[58:45] it was right time, right idea.
[58:47] For the rest of the world,
[58:48] it was right time.
[58:48] Maybe wrong idea.
[58:50] Yes.
[58:51] That is totally fair.
[58:53] So I think where we have it now,
[58:54] which is like a mostly right idea,
[58:56] right time with like a gentle nudge
[58:58] into wrong idea.
[58:58] This feels right to me.
[58:59] Are we good with this?
[59:00] We're good.
[59:00] That feels good.
[59:01] Okay, cool.
[59:02] Question number two.
[59:03] Was this peak anything?
[59:05] I have a couple to offer you
[59:06] and then I'm curious
[59:06] if you guys have ideas.
[59:07] Was this peak office coffee?
[59:09] Have we bested Keurig
[59:10] when it comes to office coffee?
[59:12] I kind of don't think so.
[59:13] For the price point,
[59:15] there's definitely better machines
[59:16] that make better coffee
[59:18] out there, but they've just built
[59:20] the system so well
[59:23] at the price point that they're at.
[59:24] It's kind of hard to compete with that.
[59:27] I also feel like it so correctly
[59:29] matches how people exist in an office.
[59:33] This is again where I go back
[59:33] to the funny thing about Keurig
[59:34] is I think it absolutely got
[59:36] every single thing right
[59:38] when it comes to your office coffee maker.
[59:39] Where like I want coffee
[59:40] when I want coffee.
[59:41] I don't want to go get coffee
[59:42] just because somebody made it
[59:43] and if I don't get it right now,
[59:44] it'll be gross and burned.
[59:46] I am now fully in control of this thing
[59:48] and I can make exactly
[59:49] as much as I need and no more.
[59:50] That sort of cadence
[59:51] of how people make coffee
[59:52] feels like they got it exactly right.
[59:54] I also feel like
[59:55] this is like the far end
[59:57] of the dot com boom
[59:58] where people had coffee
[01:00:01] and drinks and ping pong tables
[01:00:03] in their office.
[01:00:04] This is like a really remote.
[01:00:05] Well, we have this good coffee maker.
[01:00:07] It's like an every person's amenity
[01:00:11] on some level.
[01:00:11] Totally.
[01:00:12] And improving it.
[01:00:13] Yeah.
[01:00:13] There was definitely the startup boom
[01:00:16] where everybody was bringing in
[01:00:17] Stumptown cold brew concentrate.
[01:00:19] But I don't know that that
[01:00:20] I don't think we can count that next to.
[01:00:22] No, no, this is just like
[01:00:24] reading out of like
[01:00:26] at least we have this.
[01:00:28] Exactly.
[01:00:29] This is better than like
[01:00:30] the gross stuff
[01:00:31] somebody made this morning.
[01:00:32] Yes.
[01:00:32] Also, is this peak easy coffee?
[01:00:35] Yes.
[01:00:35] Has there ever been an easier way
[01:00:37] to make coffee than Keurig?
[01:00:38] Instant.
[01:00:40] Is that even coffee though?
[01:00:41] I know.
[01:00:43] I know.
[01:00:44] It's just sort of retro or something.
[01:00:46] Yeah.
[01:00:46] I feel like instant like
[01:00:49] not that one is like
[01:00:50] actually worse or better than the other,
[01:00:52] but like Keurig has this
[01:00:55] like doing it in a machine that quickly
[01:00:58] just like I feel like
[01:00:59] psychologically feels so much better.
[01:01:02] Yes.
[01:01:02] Not for nothing Keurig
[01:01:03] also heats up the water for you.
[01:01:04] That's true.
[01:01:05] That's true actually.
[01:01:06] Great point.
[01:01:07] And he has the time.
[01:01:08] Exactly.
[01:01:08] I got things to do.
[01:01:12] Question number three.
[01:01:13] If you could time travel back
[01:01:14] and develop it yourself.
[01:01:15] So we're putting you
[01:01:16] in the Boston apartment
[01:01:18] with John and Peter in the 80s and 90s.
[01:01:21] Could you make the product more successful?
[01:01:23] I mean, I would have wanted to have like
[01:01:26] met design team designing it.
[01:01:29] Like the design part is the part that
[01:01:31] I feel like if you make it a coveted item
[01:01:34] that it would
[01:01:35] and that you could essentially rotate it like
[01:01:37] this is a circa 2010
[01:01:40] and this is a circa 2020
[01:01:42] and it's like became like a collector's
[01:01:44] design thing.
[01:01:45] That's a good one.
[01:01:46] Then that would have made it cool.
[01:01:49] Yeah.
[01:01:50] What is it?
[01:01:51] Is it the mocha pot?
[01:01:52] Is that a thing that has become
[01:01:53] like a real design object
[01:01:55] that you just have in your house
[01:01:56] because it looks awesome?
[01:01:57] Absolutely.
[01:01:57] Like what if Keurig had pointed at
[01:01:59] that a little bit?
[01:02:00] I mean, and there's so many collabs
[01:02:01] with designers and Bialetti
[01:02:03] that you can get like a fancy one.
[01:02:06] So absolutely.
[01:02:06] I'm now imagining
[01:02:07] like a supreme branded Keurig.
[01:02:11] I might take that.
[01:02:13] Keurig.
[01:02:15] It would have worked.
[01:02:16] Honestly, you're not wrong.
[01:02:17] Exactly.
[01:02:18] Morgan, what do you think?
[01:02:19] I think, and I don't know
[01:02:21] how they would have done this necessarily.
[01:02:23] You know, it's thinking about like
[01:02:25] the hot water, the pressure,
[01:02:26] like achieving all of those things.
[01:02:29] Plastic is the obvious
[01:02:31] and like easy answer,
[01:02:32] but it's like if there could have
[01:02:34] been a way to incorporate
[01:02:36] a more environmentally friendly
[01:02:38] like pod product early on,
[01:02:41] even utilizing like a pod system
[01:02:44] early on that was like easier
[01:02:46] to take apart and actually recycle
[01:02:47] because it's like people got trained
[01:02:49] on to just being able to toss them,
[01:02:52] just being able to get rid of them
[01:02:53] so early on that then when they
[01:02:54] retroactively introduced recycling systems,
[01:02:57] like easier ways to take them apart.
[01:02:58] It's like, well, people aren't,
[01:02:59] people already have their systems
[01:03:01] and their ways of of actioning.
[01:03:03] Like as much as you can,
[01:03:04] you know, tell them
[01:03:05] that they can do it differently.
[01:03:06] It's like we don't,
[01:03:07] we don't like to change,
[01:03:08] especially in those those small routines.
[01:03:10] I know I was thinking about this too,
[01:03:12] because I think the obvious one for me
[01:03:13] is go back and like grab John
[01:03:15] by the lapels and be like,
[01:03:16] this is an environmental disaster.
[01:03:18] Do better.
[01:03:19] But it also seems like
[01:03:21] the last 15 years since
[01:03:23] this has been very obvious
[01:03:24] to everybody that it's
[01:03:25] environmental problems
[01:03:25] suggest that it's a much harder
[01:03:27] problem to cleanly solve
[01:03:30] than we realize.
[01:03:30] Like for all the ways in which
[01:03:32] it is just a ruthless corporation
[01:03:33] trying to make money.
[01:03:34] Keurig would have solved
[01:03:35] this problem already
[01:03:36] if there was an easy way to do so
[01:03:37] because it just would have been
[01:03:38] an unassailable victory
[01:03:40] for them to do so.
[01:03:41] And so that suggests
[01:03:43] that there is not something
[01:03:45] just sitting out there
[01:03:46] that John could have picked up
[01:03:47] off the shelf that he didn't.
[01:03:48] And also there must be like
[01:03:50] a financial demographic of like
[01:03:52] this is the income range
[01:03:53] of people who are making Keurigs.
[01:03:55] And if we improve this product
[01:03:58] so it was more recyclable,
[01:03:59] then it would kick out x percent
[01:04:01] of people who normally buy it.
[01:04:02] Totally.
[01:04:02] Yeah, they already had trouble
[01:04:04] convincing people
[01:04:04] that this was worth the cost
[01:04:06] because it's I mean,
[01:04:07] it was like three or four times
[01:04:08] the price of just making
[01:04:09] a cup of coffee
[01:04:10] with Folgers beans
[01:04:11] that you bought at the grocery store.
[01:04:12] And so that was yeah,
[01:04:15] I think if they had made it
[01:04:16] any more expensive,
[01:04:18] it might have changed
[01:04:19] the way the thing worked at all
[01:04:20] from the very beginning.
[01:04:22] Yeah, it's a tricky one.
[01:04:22] I do like the idea of
[01:04:24] hire a designer.
[01:04:29] Alright, question number four.
[01:04:30] The question here is
[01:04:31] will the youth ever make it cool again?
[01:04:33] And I think this is a fun one
[01:04:35] for this one.
[01:04:36] Because Keurigs are so ubiquitous,
[01:04:39] there is nothing about it at all
[01:04:41] that is like a fun hipster
[01:04:42] way to make coffee.
[01:04:44] And Morgan, I say this
[01:04:45] with all possible love,
[01:04:46] you are a hipster
[01:04:47] who likes to make coffee.
[01:04:48] Oh, for sure.
[01:04:49] And who makes hips or coffee.
[01:04:51] Can we make Keurig cool again?
[01:04:53] You know, it's hard.
[01:04:54] I think my gut instinct is no.
[01:04:57] And I think the way
[01:04:58] that they could have possibly
[01:05:00] come around and made Keurig cool
[01:05:02] again is if they did have
[01:05:04] that kind of history
[01:05:05] of heritage design
[01:05:06] that Melissa was just mentioning,
[01:05:08] where it's like, you know,
[01:05:10] people kind of come back around
[01:05:11] to maybe an older model
[01:05:13] of coffee system
[01:05:14] that they grew up with
[01:05:15] and has a retro feel
[01:05:16] that's different
[01:05:17] than what it looks like now.
[01:05:18] But like the problem
[01:05:19] is kind of right in front of us
[01:05:21] like on screen
[01:05:22] with the two Keurig coffee makers
[01:05:23] where what they're selling today
[01:05:25] looks functionally the exact same
[01:05:27] as what they were selling originally.
[01:05:29] So you don't have that
[01:05:30] kind of fun retro
[01:05:31] like, you know,
[01:05:34] sweeping back to like the 90s,
[01:05:35] like there's none of that
[01:05:37] like feel to it to come back to.
[01:05:39] I was thinking about this too
[01:05:40] because one of my sort of immediate
[01:05:42] thoughts when I started
[01:05:43] thinking about this question
[01:05:43] is like, oh, update
[01:05:45] and re-release the first one,
[01:05:46] right? Like Keurig classic
[01:05:48] or whatever.
[01:05:48] And then I looked at it
[01:05:49] and it's like nobody would
[01:05:50] clock that as old-school Keurig
[01:05:52] which just it looks like
[01:05:53] every other Keurig ever made.
[01:05:54] It's so funny.
[01:05:55] And I think if you start doing,
[01:05:57] you know, Taylor Swift
[01:05:58] branded Keurig now,
[01:06:00] everybody just rolls their eyes
[01:06:01] at you and is like easy Keurig.
[01:06:03] Yes, completely.
[01:06:04] Not now.
[01:06:04] Unless you go like
[01:06:05] the Thomas's Thermos route,
[01:06:07] you know, like the time
[01:06:08] how people were collecting
[01:06:09] those Thomas's cups
[01:06:10] and found like accoutrements
[01:06:12] that you're like connecting
[01:06:14] like sleeves and things
[01:06:15] you connect to it
[01:06:16] and things that you collect
[01:06:17] like maybe you could go that route.
[01:06:18] Okay, now you're making me think
[01:06:20] instead of doing the Keurig machine,
[01:06:22] you make a Keurig mug
[01:06:24] and then try to make it
[01:06:24] super cool on TikTok
[01:06:25] so that all the kids
[01:06:26] want the Keurig mug.
[01:06:27] Yes.
[01:06:28] Hydro flask style.
[01:06:30] Yes.
[01:06:30] Exactly.
[01:06:32] Exactly.
[01:06:32] Yes.
[01:06:33] All right. Well, we've solved it.
[01:06:34] Keurig, you're welcome.
[01:06:35] Question number five.
[01:06:36] This is actually a totally bizarre one
[01:06:39] for this because it hasn't changed a bit.
[01:06:41] What feature of this product
[01:06:43] should every current version have?
[01:06:45] I would argue there is something to
[01:06:48] there is literally only one button
[01:06:50] that just says brew.
[01:06:51] Like, even now it's like three buttons
[01:06:56] but there is something lovely
[01:06:57] about the fact that you put the pot
[01:06:59] and you smack it on top
[01:07:01] and it makes you coffee.
[01:07:02] I mean, that's strong difference.
[01:07:04] I just don't think it actually is real.
[01:07:06] I think it's like a total panacea.
[01:07:08] I do wonder.
[01:07:09] Yeah, I think it's just like that one button.
[01:07:12] Morgan, what do you think?
[01:07:12] Anything to add?
[01:07:13] They haven't changed much in 30 years.
[01:07:15] It's so hard to...
[01:07:16] I was going to say it's so hard to answer.
[01:07:18] I mean, one button, yeah,
[01:07:20] but it's like not much to pull from.
[01:07:23] I still want it to be a more satisfying
[01:07:25] button experience like a bell,
[01:07:27] even though that would wake people up.
[01:07:29] Or like a crank you pull
[01:07:30] but it's like coffee time.
[01:07:32] Yes, exactly.
[01:07:34] And it should say coffee time as you pull it.
[01:07:38] I take my answer back.
[01:07:39] That's what I want actually.
[01:07:41] We want the coffee time machine.
[01:07:42] I do.
[01:07:43] This is good.
[01:07:44] We can do this.
[01:07:44] I think the three of us
[01:07:45] are starting a coffee company.
[01:07:46] They're going to hire us.
[01:07:47] This is going to be incredible.
[01:07:48] Consultancy fees.
[01:07:50] All right, three more questions.
[01:07:51] These are the Version History Hall of Fame questions.
[01:07:53] Any product has to pass all three of these tests
[01:07:56] to get into the Hall of Fame.
[01:07:57] Question number one.
[01:07:58] Did this product do something truly new?
[01:08:00] No.
[01:08:01] No.
[01:08:02] Interesting.
[01:08:02] Tell me why.
[01:08:03] I mean, it plays with the vessels
[01:08:05] of how you're brewing coffee,
[01:08:06] but it's still just brewing coffee.
[01:08:09] You could make your pot of coffee
[01:08:14] brew one cup of coffee
[01:08:15] if you really wanted to.
[01:08:18] That is true.
[01:08:19] Put coffee in thing, pour water on thing.
[01:08:21] Yes.
[01:08:22] Is not a new solution to a problem.
[01:08:26] Morgan, what do you think?
[01:08:27] Do you want to give Keurig more credit than that?
[01:08:29] I lean towards yes.
[01:08:32] I agree that it is just making coffee,
[01:08:35] but I think the speed at which it achieves filter coffee,
[01:08:40] which is like a time frame
[01:08:41] that usually was just for espresso
[01:08:43] and filter coffee was automatically
[01:08:45] like a couple minutes minimum
[01:08:47] to getting it down to like sub one minute functionally.
[01:08:50] Like I feel like that was kind of like new and innovative.
[01:08:54] Well, as a person who's recently brewed from Keurig,
[01:09:00] there are some models
[01:09:01] where it takes a minute for it to heat up.
[01:09:03] True.
[01:09:03] So it actually ends up taking the same amount of time
[01:09:06] as a regular pot.
[01:09:08] That is true.
[01:09:09] If you're starting with the water too,
[01:09:10] then you have to go fill up the water thing.
[01:09:12] And it's like, this takes like three minutes.
[01:09:14] I got to go.
[01:09:16] I got stuff to do.
[01:09:18] I can order Starbucks so much faster than that.
[01:09:21] All right.
[01:09:22] I'm going to tie break this with,
[01:09:23] I'm going to say yes,
[01:09:24] just because I wanted to pass this test
[01:09:26] so we can keep the tension going.
[01:09:27] Okay.
[01:09:27] For the other version.
[01:09:28] I call it valid.
[01:09:29] But I take both of your arguments.
[01:09:31] In good faith.
[01:09:32] Question number two,
[01:09:33] was the Keurig either remarkably good or remarkably bad?
[01:09:36] I will spoil it.
[01:09:37] I think this is where it fails the test
[01:09:38] because I don't think it was either.
[01:09:40] I don't think it tried to be either.
[01:09:42] Do you know what I mean?
[01:09:42] Like, I don't think being remarkably good
[01:09:44] was actually Keurig's goal
[01:09:46] in a way that makes me find this product so fascinating.
[01:09:48] It's like, they started from a pure simplification convenience.
[01:09:54] How do we strip away all of the ways
[01:09:56] in which you can screw this up?
[01:09:57] I never found anything where the goal is like,
[01:10:00] let's make terrific coffee.
[01:10:02] And I think that's fine.
[01:10:03] It just wasn't the goal.
[01:10:05] It's like, how do we make non-horrible coffee
[01:10:08] was the goal.
[01:10:08] Yes.
[01:10:09] And it ends up, you put Keurig kind of right in the middle
[01:10:12] of every single coffee spectrum you could think of.
[01:10:14] I agree with that take.
[01:10:16] I think it makes remarkably passable coffee,
[01:10:18] which is what it set out to do.
[01:10:20] But even if they did an excellent job
[01:10:23] at achieving their goal,
[01:10:24] their goal itself wasn't excellent.
[01:10:26] So it's very hard for me to say it was remarkably good.
[01:10:29] I also, they made something that was packaged in a way
[01:10:35] that was really cool and worked really well for people.
[01:10:38] And so it's hard for me to say it was remarkably bad.
[01:10:42] I think where it slips into the bad territory
[01:10:44] is when we get back into that discussion
[01:10:45] about the environmental aspects.
[01:10:47] That's the really bad part to me.
[01:10:49] But everything else about it, it's pretty good.
[01:10:52] I think what you're touching on is essentially
[01:10:54] the hallmark of fast food, which is good enough.
[01:10:59] Exactly, yeah.
[01:11:00] Yeah, to me, I was thinking about this
[01:11:02] as we were drinking the coffee.
[01:11:03] I feel like no one has ever had a cup of Keurig coffee
[01:11:06] and been like, gosh, that's better than I expected.
[01:11:08] That's totally true.
[01:11:11] And that's fine.
[01:11:12] Again, that's not the goal.
[01:11:14] I think most people have not had a cup of Keurig coffee
[01:11:17] and been like, well, that's trash, which was the goal.
[01:11:20] And I think that fails this test,
[01:11:23] but is also sort of a success story of Keurig.
[01:11:25] Whereas to go back to Comiteer,
[01:11:27] I actually have this distinct memory
[01:11:28] of the first time I had a cup of Comiteer coffee,
[01:11:30] and I had the moment of being like,
[01:11:31] well, that's better than I thought it was going to be.
[01:11:33] And it was like an honest to God,
[01:11:35] pretty good cup of coffee
[01:11:36] out of a little round frozen thing in my freezer.
[01:11:41] I have never had that feeling with a Keurig cup of coffee.
[01:11:43] Absolutely.
[01:11:43] It is a purely utilitarian experience,
[01:11:46] and that's fine, but it fails this test.
[01:11:49] Which is fun because I think it's going to pass this one,
[01:11:52] which is Hall of Fame question number three,
[01:11:54] did it change history?
[01:11:55] Is there a world before Keurig and a world after it?
[01:11:57] Yeah, I absolutely think so.
[01:11:59] I mean, just if you're saying that one in three households
[01:12:02] in America have this,
[01:12:03] I mean, it's like a vacuum cleaner,
[01:12:07] or I mean, any kind of gadget that you have in your house.
[01:12:11] It's wild that so many people have it.
[01:12:13] And it also speaks to what we talked about earlier,
[01:12:16] is that people have multiple...
[01:12:18] I mean, it makes sense for Morgan to have multiple
[01:12:20] like coffee brewing items,
[01:12:22] but it's really interesting at what point
[01:12:24] we started collecting ways to brew coffee in our house.
[01:12:28] Yeah, I agree. Morgan, what do you think?
[01:12:29] Absolutely. I think like in a lot of ways,
[01:12:33] Keurig has kind of gone the Xerox route,
[01:12:35] or just even the brand name has become so synonymous
[01:12:38] with like pod coffee makers.
[01:12:40] Like you might have an off-brand or whatever,
[01:12:42] but you're going to probably still call it a Keurig
[01:12:44] or refer to it as such.
[01:12:46] Totally. It is, I think,
[01:12:47] even people who have Nespresso machines, they're Keurigs.
[01:12:50] Yeah, yes.
[01:12:51] I'm sure Nespresso hates that, but here we are.
[01:12:53] I think that's right. Yeah.
[01:12:54] And I was thinking about this as we were talking,
[01:12:56] like, is there...
[01:12:58] This has to be on the level of like an oven and a stove,
[01:13:03] as when you walk into somebody's kitchen,
[01:13:04] you immediately understand what those things are.
[01:13:06] Like it is that ubiquitous,
[01:13:09] particularly in American culture,
[01:13:10] that I suspect the sort of brand recognition
[01:13:13] has got to be close to a hundred percent.
[01:13:15] So like you know what the thing is when you see it.
[01:13:17] Absolutely.
[01:13:17] Which is a remarkable achievement.
[01:13:20] Again, for better and for worse, as it turns out.
[01:13:23] All right, Keurig, you missed out on being in the Hall of Fame,
[01:13:25] but only by a little.
[01:13:26] And you've made me very sweaty,
[01:13:28] which is why you didn't do it again.
[01:13:28] I know. I also feel like I should walk my no back.
[01:13:32] No, I hold strong on that.
[01:13:34] Hold strong on that.
[01:13:35] Yeah, hold fast.
[01:13:36] I think you were right.
[01:13:37] Okay.
[01:13:37] I think not getting in, but only missing by a little
[01:13:41] is the right choice.
[01:13:42] Okay.
[01:13:42] Totally passable, which feels on brand for this.
[01:13:46] Okay. It did fine.
[01:13:48] It did fine.
[01:13:48] If there's ever a wing of the Virgin History Hall of Fame
[01:13:51] that is like pretty good, it makes it in with flying colors.
[01:13:55] The Good Enough Hall of Fame.
[01:13:56] Yes, exactly.
[01:13:57] Will be branded Keurig.
[01:14:00] All right.
[01:14:01] We are done here.
[01:14:02] Thank you, Morgan and Melissa.
[01:14:03] This has been tremendously fun.
[01:14:04] Thank you both for doing this.
[01:14:05] It's been so great.
[01:14:06] It's been a blast.
[01:14:07] You can follow all of Melissa's stuff at Eater.
[01:14:09] You can follow all of Morgan's stuff.
[01:14:11] Morgan drinks coffee.
[01:14:12] Every platform everywhere.
[01:14:13] Everywhere, right?
[01:14:15] You're also training for a barista championships.
[01:14:17] Yes.
[01:14:17] I am.
[01:14:18] The 2026 championships are happening in June.
[01:14:22] So this is either for me, it's before, but maybe for you, it'll be after.
[01:14:26] Best of luck.
[01:14:26] We're very much looking forward to it.
[01:14:28] We're rooting for you.
[01:14:28] Exactly.
[01:14:29] Cheering squad over here.
[01:14:30] We will be there.
[01:14:32] Thank you all for watching and listening.
[01:14:33] And as always, the best thing you can do to support all of this,
[01:14:36] to make sure we get to keep buying old weird gadgets on eBay
[01:14:39] is to subscribe to The Verge, TheVerge.com slash subscribe.
[01:14:42] Thank you for watching and listening.
[01:14:44] We'll see you next time.